Grim Bauble

Top Performing Decklists

Deck Creator Record Best Finish
Dimir Bounce enter 9-1 1st in MTGO Standard Challenge 64 #12763190
Esper Pixie kthanakit26 9-1 1st in MTGO Standard Challenge 32 #12769881
Esper Pixie houseofmanamtg 7-2 1st in MTGO Standard Challenge 32 #12765757
Esper Pixie gyrabbit47 7-2 1st in MTGO Standard Challenge 32 #12765778
Temur Otters platinum-mythic rank player 6-0 1st in Traditional Standard Ranked Decklists: April 14, 2025
Esper Pixie platinum-mythic rank player 6-0 1st in Traditional Standard Ranked Decklists: April 14, 2025
Orzhov Pixie sam_lewin 7-2 None
Unknown Archetype elvin7 7-2 None
Esper Pixie ejk 6-1 None
Esper Pixie mei0024 6-1 None

Performance Stats (Last 14 Days)

Win Rate Impact
-1.9%
vs average deck
Top Table Win Rate
78.1%
placement-weighted
Meta Trend
+10.6%
recent vs earlier
Sample Size
148
decks
Tournament Results
64
1st place
92
top 8
Average Copies
1.9
per deck

Meta Performance Analysis

Grim Bauble ranks #71 out of approximately 406 cards in raw efficiency (top 17%).

Game Impact Factor
75.37
How much this card influences game outcomes
Color Differential
-1.74%

Black average: 74.5%

Performance compared to other Black cards

Based on our comprehensive multi-metric analysis, Grim Bauble is a solid card that performs above average in the current meta.

Recommended number of copies: 3

Win Rate Timeline

Card Efficiency Analysis

Raw Efficiency (Win Rate/Mana)
72.9
Win percentage points per mana invested
Relative Efficiency
0.96x
Compared to average cards of same mana value

Performance Efficiency: 45.34 (Win rate × Top 8 rate ÷ Mana value)

At 1 mana, the average win rate in the format is 76.0%. Grim Bauble has a win rate of 72.9%, making it 4.0% worse than other 1-mana cards.

Top Performing Partners

Card Name Type Deck Count Win Rate 1st Places
Dissection Tools Artifact — Equipment 6 72.9% 3
The Mightstone and Weakstone Legendary Artifact — Powerstone 9 67.1% 6
Bandit's Talent Enchantment — Class 7 65.2% 1
Sunpearl Kirin Creature — Kirin 38 62.9% 8
Archfiend of the Dross Creature — Phyrexian Demon 7 62.9% 3
The Filigree Sylex Legendary Artifact 10 61.2% 6
Collector's Vault Artifact 5 60.0% 4
Overlord of the Mistmoors Enchantment Creature — Avatar Horror 11 59.2% 0
The Enigma Jewel Legendary Artifact // Legendary Artifact 13 56.6% 7
Wilt-Leaf Liege Creature — Elf Knight 19 56.3% 1

Card Synergy Analysis

Cards that perform better with Grim Bauble than they do on average. A positive synergy score indicates stronger performance together.

Card Name Type Mana Decks Win Rate Together Win Rate Apart Synergy Score
Sheltered by Ghosts Enchantment — Aura 2 8 83.0% 75.3% +7.7%
Scavenger Regent Creature — Dragon 4 5 77.3% 70.4% +6.9%
Negate Instant 2 24 79.1% 73.9% +5.2%
Spell Pierce Instant 1 22 80.1% 75.0% +5.1%
Get Out Instant 2 21 79.5% 75.7% +3.8%
Tishana's Tidebinder Creature — Merfolk Wizard 3 32 76.5% 72.9% +3.6%
Kaito, Bane of Nightmares Legendary Planeswalker — Kaito 4 88 75.8% 72.8% +3.0%
Cori-Steel Cutter Artifact — Equipment 2 5 78.4% 75.5% +2.9%
Floodpits Drowner Creature — Merfolk 2 26 75.6% 72.8% +2.8%
Cut Down Instant 1 34 76.0% 73.4% +2.6%

Top Archetypes

Archetype Deck Count % of Archetype Win Rate
Esper Pixie 726 46.5% 54.7%
Dimir Bounce 169 34.2% 60.0%
Orzhov Pixie 60 82.2% 55.3%
Dimir Midrange 27 1.3% 52.8%
Unknown Archetype 21 5.8% 44.3%

Statistics Explanation

Statistic Description Formula
Win Rate Impact How much this card increases or decreases the win rate of decks that include it, compared to the average deck in the format. (Win rate of decks with this card) - (Average win rate of all decks)
Top Table Win Rate A weighted win rate that gives more significance to performance in higher tournament placements. First place finishes count for 2x, with diminishing weight down to 8th place. ∑(wins × placement_weight) / ∑((wins + losses) × placement_weight)
Meta Trend Shows if the card is performing better or worse in the most recent period compared to earlier periods. Positive values indicate improving performance. (Win rate in recent half of time period) - (Win rate in earlier half of time period)
Confidence Factor A measure of statistical reliability based on sample size. The progress bar indicates how confident we are in the statistics (with larger sample sizes providing higher confidence). log10(Number of decks + 1)
Average Copies The average number of copies of this card included in decks that use it. ∑(Copies in each deck) / (Number of decks)
Card Synergy Score Measures how well this card performs with other cards compared to their individual performance. (Win rate together) - (Average of individual win rates)
Raw Efficiency Win rate points per mana invested. Higher values indicate better returns on mana investment. (Win rate) / (Mana value)
Relative Efficiency How efficient this card is compared to the average card of the same mana value. ((Win rate) / (Format average win rate for same mana)) / (Mana value)
Performance Efficiency Combined metric that accounts for win rate, tournament success, and mana investment. (Win rate × Top 8 placement rate) / (Mana value)
Game Impact Factor A measure of how much this card affects game outcomes, based on win rate adjusted by its deviation from the format average. Win rate × (1 + (Win rate - Format average) / 100)
Color Differential How this card's win rate compares to the average win rate of other cards of the same color. Win rate - Average win rate for same color

All statistics are calculated using tournament data from the selected time period. Sample sizes below 10 decks may not provide statistically significant results.